Key Takeaways

1Brian Armstrong predicts Bitcoin could reach $1 million by 2030, citing clearer US crypto regulations and a possible Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
2He joins other major voices like Jack Dorsey and Cathie Wood in making bullish decade-end forecasts for BTC.
3Analysts caution that Bitcoin still needs to prove its short-term strength, with prices recently retreating from record highs.
4Optimism around institutional demand, ETFs, and global adoption continues to fuel long-term projections.

What Happened?

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong believes Bitcoin could be worth $1 million by 2030, adding to a growing list of crypto leaders who are confident in the asset’s long-term potential. Armstrong made the bold prediction during an interview and on social media, pointing to regulatory shifts and strategic initiatives that could reshape the global financial landscape.

I think we’ll see $1M per bitcoin by 2030.

Regulatory clarity is finally emerging, the US government is keeping a BTC reserve, there’s a growing interest for crypto ETFs, among many other factors.

(Not financial advice of course, it’s impossible to guarantee) pic.twitter.com/w5EfcYFvVp
— Brian Armstrong (@brian_armstrong) August 20, 2025

Armstrong’s Big Bet on Bitcoin

Armstrong voiced his $1 million forecast during a podcast interview with Stripe co-founder John Collison. He clarified that while such predictions carry “high error bars,” the general trajectory looks promising. His reasoning stems from several key developments in the United States, including recent legislation and a strategic focus on Bitcoin.

A Cheeky Pint with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong

Armstrong praised the GENIUS Act, which was recently passed to regulate stablecoins.
He noted that a market structure bill is under Senate review, hinting it could be passed by year-end.
The concept of a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, now under executive order, could inspire global adoption, he said.

“The United States is a bellwether for the rest of the G20,” Armstrong emphasized, suggesting that regulatory clarity in the US could set the tone for the rest of the world.

He also expressed belief that Bitcoin might eventually serve as the world’s reserve currency, fueled by weakening trust in fiat systems and increasing global deficits.

Industry Leaders Echo the $1 Million Call

Armstrong is not alone in his high-stakes prediction. Other prominent voices in the crypto space have echoed similar sentiment:

Jack Dorsey, co-founder of Twitter and Block, has also forecast Bitcoin reaching $1 million by 2030.
Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest recently raised its projection to a stunning $3.8 million per Bitcoin by the end of the decade, citing a rise in institutional adoption.
Anthony Scaramucci of SkyBridge Capital predicts Bitcoin could hit $180,000 to $200,000 by year-end.
Bill Miller IV suggests a potential of $175,000, driven by retirement fund inflows.

Analysts Urge a More Cautious View

Despite the bullish outlooks, not everyone is convinced Bitcoin will reach those levels anytime soon. Crypto researcher James McKay from McKay Research warned investors to keep expectations in check. Following Bitcoin’s dip to $112,676 after hitting an all-time high of $124,128, McKay said, “Let’s try and hold 124K first, guys.”

He acknowledged that Armstrong’s projection is “not out of left field,” especially considering forecasts like Standard Chartered’s $500,000 by 2028, but added that near-term challenges remain.

Some of those headwinds include:

Delayed interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve
Potential policy shifts from the next presidential administration

Meanwhile, Mike Novogratz, CEO of Galaxy Digital, issued a warning that a $1 million Bitcoin by next year would signal major economic distress, not success. “It only gets there if we’re in such a shitty place domestically,” he said bluntly in a podcast appearance.

CoinLaw’s Takeaway

I’ve been in this space long enough to know that bold predictions get attention, but clarity and action move markets. What stands out in Armstrong’s call isn’t just the number, but the growing alignment among US policymakers, investors, and tech leaders around Bitcoin’s role in the global economy. Whether it hits $1 million or not, the increasing regulatory seriousness, institutional involvement, and public discussion signal we’re in a new era for crypto. In my experience, that kind of alignment usually leads to real progress.